The 3D that recognition and controversy coexist is printed3D is printed, it is the notional trap of Babbitt capital elaborate design, another when can you still change the world " does Apollo plan " ?
From 1986 first 3D printer is born calculate case, the 3D technology that print already had nearly 30 years of histories. But till 2012, the spring that belongs to it just is late.
This year April, england " economics person " the magazine publishs cover article, point out " the 3rd Industrial Revolution " 5 gist element, 3D prints a list among them, software, as new as intelligence material, robot and the commercial service mode that are based on Internet side-by-side and stand.
ata pciThenceforth rises, 3D prints welcome new opportunity: Media reports actively, the government makes known his position to give aid to, and the dart of share price hurricane of 3D Systems of the American 3D tycoon that print, Stratasys and ExOne, the mark is worn of capital market approbate.
This is a good times. Go one year, the share price of 3D Systems goes up amount to 200% , stratasys also rises one times; The ExOne that Nasidake lands at the beginning of this month goes up first days greatly 47% , mirrorred wall street to print notional favour to 3D. On the other hand, american president Aobama prints 3D in the requirement in national condition report as innovation key; Curule and public support develops department of Chinese industry letter " add material to make a technology " , in printing concerned strategy to plan to considering to make with 3D, hopeful at be being announced after two meetings this year.
This also is a bad times. Of media and government chase after ardently hold in both hands, cannot mask 3D to print still be in budding period fact. Although be in medical treatment and industrial domain, this kind of technology has matured quite, but in wider civil class market, it still belongs to little numerous playing thing.
A direct data is: 2012, global 3D prints the market (include relevant material) dimensions is 2.1 billion dollar only; The 3D printer with the greatest whole world produces business Stratasys only work off 20 thousand products, entire industry sales volume also has 42 thousand only. most popular selling scooby costume Although 3D printer is monovalent taller, but sale very little, market breeds inadequacy still is 3D prints the biggest dilemma that face.
And in stock market respect, after abidance of nearly one year rises, partial investor has begun seek to cover leave now. This year January, somebody is written in Seeking Alpha of website of famous finance and economics civil say, 3D prints a concept rise profit from " right idea was played in right time, proper place, but whole industry is very young still " ; And last week, in order to make empty China concept famed citron points to spearhead 3D Systems, think the concept that 3D prints already was acclaimed overly, the share price immediately of concerned company drops greatly.
The 3D that recognition and controversy coexist is printed, it is the notional trap of Babbitt capital elaborate design after all, another when can you still change complete mankind " does Apollo plan " ?
mountain t shirtsIdeal: 3D prints be pregnant with to did not come indefinitely
3D is printed be called again " add material to make " , it is one kind shapes quickly technology. With conventional treatment means differs, it connects beyond the mark layer to make, the means of the overlay that chase a layer produces a product, the characteristic is not to need a mould, can process the product with very complex structure. Say simply, the user needs to design model of a 3D through CAD only, choose right stuff, with respect to the object that can print any form.
Of height but custom-built sex lets 3D print had a lot of advantages. Need a blueprint only, it can produce model or archetypal product quickly, domain use is designed in industry memory card digital cameras extensive. And the product that prints as a result of 3D need not open model, cut, solder the treatment that waits for conventional technology, cost also is reduced greatly.
A case is production mobile phone of printer of use 3 D of resurgence mobile phone " hand board " . "Hand board " the initiative model that is a mobile phone, stylist can be being taken in one's hand board hind undertake modification again. According to traditional pattern, of hand board make finish by professional firm, complete handiwork is made, need two weeks of time about, cost exceeds 3000 yuan. And after using 3D to print a technology, need 34 hours to be able to build skill board only, cost also does not cross a few yuan.
Nevertheless, the applied foreground that 3D prints is confined to this by no means. In industrial domain, 3D is printed can produce aircraft component with a future life, because need not solder, an organic whole shapes, the part that uses production of this kind of technology is hard all the more; In medical treatment domain, somebody prints the man-made that went out to be able to be used at the organ to transplant skeleton and splanchnic; In civil domain, the week of P the best selling scooby costume arisian fashionable dress this year has many stylist to exhibit the dress that 3D prints, and individual effigies is being printed in the 3D photo studio that print already also was not news.
Actual: The whole people gains ground to just dream
ata pciBut in capital eye, the foreground that 3D prints is not a light. Say the new technology that is hopeful change world with its, be inferior to saying it is the good theme that the stock market acclaims only.
Already much home 3D prints notional company to appear on the market successfully: The United States has 3D Systems, Stratasys and ExOne, china has in machinery of source of boat serious chance, sea, big a group of things with common features laser and China project science and technology. The typical feature of these stocks is very easy get the influence of message face: The negative comment of Seeking Alpha and the charge that make empty orgnaization citron bring about American 3D to print " 3 tycoons " share price drops greatly, and this year China was versed in the official that believe a ministry divulges 3D prints the strategy in January after the program is about to come on stage, boat is weighed in machine go up if situation is wet.
What this highlighted 3D to print an industry from a flank is flimsy. The share price of the large company such as Microsoft, apple and cereal song basically gets the influence of quarterly outstanding achievement, outside opinion on public affairs won't cause great wave motion normally; And to the 3D company that print character, the information of capital and policy face is more important. Of wall street value generally ever let 3D Systems the most popular scooby costume and Stratasys become the star 2012, but 9 negative opinions namely enough brin free memory laptop toshiba gs about shrink of its market prise 10% above. And in Chinese market, 3D prints a concept already also made the attention focal point that makes empty orgnaization.
Of capital " pursue interest " attribute, and the hope of short line investor is scant, let them reveal the one side of Babbitt when facing 3D to print this one new technology, do often mix more do bring about for nothing relevant fluctuate considerably. Nevertheless, 3D prints an industry to still be in childhood period, it is share price " switchback " the prime cause of prices.
By product application limits differentiates, 3D prints main component to be industry class, medical class and civil class. Among them, the 3D printer precision of before two kinds of level is very tall, can print not only plastic with colophony, still can print metal and high polymer data, choose and employ persons of the part that can produce aerospace place to need, cure builds tooth and joint to wait, include man-made organ even. Nevertheless, these equipment prices are high, every amount to tens of 10 thousand dollars, hard large-scale promotion.
And in civil class market, 3D prints technical precision to be millimeter class only, uses data is normally plastic, can use pro free canon ef 15mm duction model and toy only, or it is the originality product such as person idol. The price of printer of this kind of 3D is thousands of dollar about, volume is minorrer also, suit a family to use.
Nevertheless, did not come to what a few people imagine to be able to not appear " every provide printer of a 3D " scene. A simple analogy is: Common 2D printer had developed more than 30 years, the price also falls already reach hundreds yuan, but also did not realize hand. Prime cause is, no matter 2D still is 3D, printer still is not " just needed " , people prefers to obtain 3D to print a service in the professional inn that print.
canon ef 15mmHigh-end market space is narrow, low end the market has not shape, compressed the imaginary space that 3D prints. What make a person anxious more is, the development rate that 3D prints is far what imagine as people is so fast: It is with Stratasys exemple, 2012 season of the 3rd money, this company battalion closes to grow 24% compared to the same period, increasing ratio season of the 2nd money glides 7 percent. No matter be absolute value or long-term trend, 3D prints the outstanding achievement of the company to let capital market feel excited hard, investor also appears hope is scant.
Babbitt capital VS is ambitious and ideal
Nevertheless, the starting point that 3D prints is not instantly, its foreground also what may not describes like capital market place is pessimistic in that way. The model that print, person idol and even machine spare parts cannot show the total latent capacity of this kind of technology scooby costume completely; If can fall cost,arrive inside reasonable range, the the best selling memory card digital cameras 3D hopeful that print becomes the next " Apollo plans " .
1961, the United States is started " Apollo plans " , the hope serves a moon the mankind. This project attracted the participation of more than 200 20 thousand enterprises, universities and orgnaization of more than 80 scientific research, total number exceeds 300 thousand. Its investment / yield than be as high as 1:14, ecbolic 3000 multinomial and new and high technologies. And after more than 50 years, the 3D hopeful that print is successive " Apollo plans " Yu Hui, become new science and technology to develop engine.
3D prints technical future, resemble beautiful theatrical work by no means " the life explodes greatly " what describe in that way, cost thousands of dollar, can print plastic whistle and person only however occasionally. For example, british scientist is planning use 3D of embryonic dry cell to print human body organ, and European spaceflight bureau hopes this one technology builds have the aid of more moon base. Nevertheless, according to the program, these tentative ideas need to await tens of year ability becomes reality.
On the other hand, 3D prints the extension that extended invention and innovation, lowered the production threshold of new product. People needs to cost several yuan to buy printer of 3D of a civil class only, can turn oneself think of a way into reality. Contriver will need mental work only, need not learn all sorts of craft of traditional manufacturing industry. "The whole people invents a times " had shown first sight of morning.
Even somebody thinks, future will appear " individual factory " and " individual shop " . Everybody can produce unique product in the home; And as a result of need not inventory, also can sell in the home. The concept of electric business is changed likely also thoroughly: What sell through Internet is terminal product no longer, is the course adds secret design program only, product general is produced in the home by him user.
3D prints the travel before staggering, media and government do it bang the drum for sb, and the impetus of backside depends on its concept whether the faith that keeps investor. An industry that just starts whether step down healthily, depend on whether run win time, grow as soon as possible, avoid investor to be driven beyond forbearance, exeunt in succession. The Babbitt of wall street and investor lets a person detest probably, also be circle of science and technology however hard orthoptic cruelty is true. (Yan Fei)
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